Dampak Pandemi Covid-19 Terhadap Kinerja Ekspor Cengkeh Indonesia
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Abstract
Even though during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 the exports of the agricultural sector increased, at the beginning of 2021 the plantation sector again experienced a decline. This is due to the disruption of the distribution system at the local, domestic and international levels. This also affects the prices of plantation commodities, one of the plantation products that has experienced a decrease in price is cloves. The aim of this study is to determine the factors that influence the performance of Indonesian clove exports. Data analysis used the Gravity model with the eViews 9 tool. The data used came from UN Comtrade. The results of the study are that the factors that have a positive effect are Indonesia's GDP, destination country's GDP, population, the covid pandemic and production. This means that every 1% increase will affect the increase by the number of coefficients. It can be concluded that the covid pandemic did not have a negative impact on Indonesia's export performance. Following are some of the implications that may occur after the COVID-19 pandemic has passed: global demand recovery, trade policy adjustments, changes in consumption patterns, focus on quality and sustainability, digitalization and e-commerce, export market diversification, risk management.
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